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Policy tightening across the globe is nearing its end. The Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve (Fed) paused their respective rates hiking cycles last week, while the ECB signalled a final hike the week prior. At home, the vote was rather close, 5-4, and the MPC’s guidance suggested they are maintaining optionality about future hikes. Globally, the prolonged monetary tightening phase has constrained the growth outlook for this year and next.

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