A bear-market rally amid inflation and growth threats

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Global financial markets have been relatively calm, even though inflation is by no means moderating and pressure on global growth is still increasing. Equity and credit markets have not declined for over a month. Euro-based returns have even been positive due to the weakening euro. US and Eurozone bond yields continue to fall, meanwhile, reflecting the growing global growth risks. Recent data, particularly in Europe, suggest a recession is near.

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